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Initial U.S. Strike-Related Shutdowns Won’t Necessarily Boost Demand at Other Automakers

Executive Summary

The eight vehicles built at the three sites closed Sept. 15 from the UAW-called strikes compete in segments dominated by Ford, GM and Stellantis, leaving it unlikely that lost sales of those models could lead to big gains at other automakers. In fact, in some cases there is a good chance lost sales at one company are filled by one of the other two. The strike-hit triumvirate are even more dominant in the fullsize pickup and SUV segments, meaning it will take lengthy shutdowns at plants building CUVs and cars before non-UAW-built vehicles get real volume benefits from declining inventory at Ford, GM or Stellantis.

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